The upcoming Federal Open Market Committee meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday is expected to feature significant…
Category: Geopolitical
Geopolitics through the lens of capital: sanctions, trade policy, elections, conflicts and energy security, read as inputs to risk pricing. We track how political events reach commodity prices, sovereign spreads and equity risk premia. The focus is on the transmission channel to markets, not on the politics itself.
Trump Trade Index Falls 16% Amid Iran War and Inflation
The Trump Trade Index has declined by approximately 16% since May, reflecting a broader downturn in…
US and UK Plan Coalition Amid Ongoing Hormuz Tensions
The United States and the United Kingdom are reportedly planning to convene a high-level conference next…
Oil Prices Remain Elevated Amid US-Iran Tensions and Risks
Oil prices are unlikely to fall to the $70-$75 range without a formal US-Iran framework addressing…
China fines Trip.com $765 million for market dominance abuse
Chinese regulators imposed a fine of 5.18 billion yuan (US$765 million) on Trip.com Group for abusing…
Fed Rate Hike Bets Rise as Iran Conflict Escalates
Federal Reserve interest rate hike expectations increased this week as tensions in the Iran conflict escalated,…
ASEAN and China Seek Energy Cooperation Amid Middle East
Southeast Asian nations are pushing for closer energy cooperation with China as tensions in the Middle…
Philippines Accuses China of Water Cannon Attack on Vessels
The Philippine Coast Guard (PCG) accused the China Coast Guard of firing water cannons at its…
Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP Drop as US-Iran Conflict Escalates
Cryptocurrencies fell sharply on Thursday as ongoing U.S. military strikes on Iran entered their 13th day,…
India’s Fuel Exports to Reach 1.55 Million bpd in July
India is set to export approximately 1.55 million barrels per day (bpd) of refined petroleum products…